Expected goals
1.1 - 1.7
Model estimate
Superliga · 2024/2025
Historical record
Aalborg BK
Kickoff
2025-03-02 17:00:00
VS
0 - 0
FC København
Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset
Intelligence overview
Away win
Medium confidence, strongest supported indicator: Over 1.5 goals.
Model
analysis-v1
sportmonks-football-271-23584-v1
Publication
historical
Public view hides drafts
54%
Confidence
Probability board
Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.
Home20%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Draw24%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Away56%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Over 1.584%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Over 2.550%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
BTTS69%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.
Evidence engine
Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.
Form
The model favours away win from pre-match team context.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Attack
Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Defence
Confidence is labelled medium, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Home/Away
The model favours away win from pre-match team context.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
League context
Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Schedule/rest
Confidence is labelled medium, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Team comparison
Historical context from 2024/2025 and 2024/2025, 2025/2026.
Aalborg BKMetricFC København
0.75
Overall PPG1.78
1.06
Goals for1.98
2.09
Goals against1.2
32
Sample64
Aalborg BK form
LDLLL
PPG 0.75 · GF 34 · GA 67
FC København form
WWDWW
PPG 1.78 · GF 127 · GA 77
Aalborg BK win rate16%
FC København win rate52%
Draw share sample25%
AI MATCH ANALYSIS
Generated from verified statistical data
Detailed AI analysis is being prepared
Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.
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