Datasets
4
Transparency dashboard
Performance
Historical backtesting, live lifecycle tracking, and settled public predictions are deliberately separate layers.
Historical fixtures
841
Eligible predictions
721
Draw recall
Known limitation
Mean 1X2
50.645%
Balanced accuracy
41.3925%
Brier score
0.6113
Log loss
1.021
Historical backtesting
Four complete datasets. Historical evidence only, not live performance.
1X2 accuracy range
47% - 57%
Mean marker shown within the observed dataset range.
Mean balanced accuracy41%
Draw recall0%
V1 predicted zero draws in current generic backtests.
Dataset comparison
Detailed responsive table plus visual cards for all registered datasets.
Scottish Premiership 2024/2025
228 fixtures · 198 eligible
1X250%
Balanced38%
Over 1.579%
Scottish Premiership 2025/2026
228 fixtures · 198 eligible
1X257%
Balanced46%
Over 1.577%
Danish Superliga 2024/2025
193 fixtures · 163 eligible
1X247%
Balanced39%
Over 1.582%
Danish Superliga 2025/2026
192 fixtures · 162 eligible
1X249%
Balanced42%
Over 1.581%
| Dataset | Fixtures | Eligible | 1X2 | Balanced | Brier | Log loss | O1.5 | O2.5 | BTTS | Draw recall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership 2024/2025 | 228 | 198 | 50% | 38.25% | 0.595771 | 1.004711 | 78.79% | 54.55% | 55.05% | 0% |
| Scottish Premiership 2025/2026 | 228 | 198 | 56.57% | 46.04% | 0.590954 | 0.990493 | 77.27% | 51.01% | 51.52% | 0% |
| Danish Superliga 2024/2025 | 193 | 163 | 47.24% | 39.38% | 0.62019 | 1.028811 | 82.21% | 62.58% | 65.03% | 0% |
| Danish Superliga 2025/2026 | 192 | 162 | 48.77% | 41.9% | 0.638384 | 1.060016 | 81.48% | 61.73% | 59.26% | 0% |
Live lifecycle tracking
Local lifecycle counts only. These are not combined with historical backtesting.
Lifecycle counts
Imported: 2Review: 1Approved: 0Published: 1
Ready
1
Completed
0
Settled
0
Public settled
0
Settled public predictions
No settled public predictions
Approved or published public predictions have not yet reached settled status. No fake accuracy is shown before records exist.
Model experiment history
Analysis Engine V1
Baseline
Used for historical demonstration and internal tracking.
Analysis Engine V2
Rejected experiment
Not promoted after holdout and calibration review.
ML Baseline V1
Inconclusive
Useful research signal, not product-ready.
Public readiness
Research/development
Statistical estimates only, no profit claims.