Football AI Beta · Research Preview · Statistical analyses are continuously improving.

Scottish Premiership · 2025/2026

Historical record

Celtic

Kickoff

2026-05-16 11:30:00

VS

3 - 1

Hearts

Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset

Intelligence overview

No clear favourite

Highest 1X2 estimate 48%. Confidence is low, so the UI avoids a strong recommendation.

Expected goals

1.7 - 1.3

Model estimate

Model

analysis-v1

sportmonks-football-501-25598-v3

Publication

historical

Public view hides drafts

39%

Confidence

Probability board

Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.

Home48%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Draw28%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Away24%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 1.587%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 2.555%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

BTTS73%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.

Evidence engine

Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.

Form

The model favours home win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Attack

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Defence

Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Home/Away

The model favours home win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

League context

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Schedule/rest

Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Team comparison

Historical context from 2024/2025, 2025/2026 and 2024/2025, 2025/2026.

CelticMetricHearts
2.29
Overall PPG
1.74
2.42
Goals for
1.57
0.88
Goals against
1.07
76
Sample
76

Celtic form

WWWWW

PPG 2.29 · GF 184 · GA 67

Hearts form

WWDWL

PPG 1.74 · GF 119 · GA 81

Celtic win rate72%
Hearts win rate51%
Draw share sample16%

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Generated from verified statistical data

Detailed AI analysis is being prepared

Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.

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