Expected goals
1.5 - 1.5
Model estimate
Scottish Premiership · 2025/2026
Historical recordKilmarnock
Kickoff
2026-05-02 14:00:00
VS
3 - 0
Dundee United
Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset
Intelligence overview
Balanced match
Highest 1X2 estimate 37%. Probabilities are tightly grouped; no strong winner headline is shown.
Model
analysis-v1
sportmonks-football-501-25598-v3
Publication
historical
Public view hides drafts
34%
Confidence
Probability board
Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.
Home37%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Draw30%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Away33%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Over 1.587%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Over 2.555%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
BTTS78%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.
Evidence engine
Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.
Form
The model favours home win from pre-match team context.
Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset
Attack
Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.
Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset
Defence
Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.
Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset
Home/Away
The model favours home win from pre-match team context.
Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset
League context
Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.
Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset
Schedule/rest
Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.
Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset
Team comparison
Historical context from 2024/2025, 2025/2026 and 2024/2025, 2025/2026.
KilmarnockMetricDundee United
1.11
Overall PPG1.26
1.25
Goals for1.22
1.74
Goals against1.49
76
Sample76
Kilmarnock form
LWWWW
PPG 1.11 · GF 95 · GA 132
Dundee United form
WLLDD
PPG 1.26 · GF 93 · GA 113
Kilmarnock win rate29%
Dundee United win rate32%
Draw share sample28%
AI MATCH ANALYSIS
Generated from verified statistical data
Detailed AI analysis is being prepared
Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.
Related intelligence
- 1AGF vs Brøndby IF2026-07-25 16:00:00Superliga
- 2Viborg FF vs Odense BK2026-07-24 17:00:00Superliga
- 3AGF vs Viborg FF2026-05-17 16:00:00Superliga
- 4Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Nordsjælland2026-05-17 16:00:00Superliga